The world is undergoing a period of wrenching geopolitical transformation. Even the most tested international alliances are now fluid, giving rise to an unstable multipolar order. Rapid changes—accelerating climate crises, record-breaking conflicts, and AI advancements—are disrupting globalization, leading to economic decoupling, trade wars, and shifting security alliances that threaten global productivity and growth, writes Co-founder, SecDev Group and Co-founder, Igarapé Institute.

Anticipatory governance is crucial in navigating today’s risks. While AI tools enhance forecasting, early warning does not always lead to early action. Bureaucratic inertia and political hesitation often delay responses. Governments, businesses, and NGOs must integrate risk intelligence into decision-making, ensuring proactive measures and resilience-building to prevent crises from escalating beyond control, he added.