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Sterling rises with UK finance minister set to unveil spending plans

Jeremy Hunt was put in place on Friday after Prime Minister Liz Truss sacked Kwasi Kwarteng. (AFP)
  • The pound held above $1.12, having sunk Friday owing to the uncertainty in Westminster, while a news conference by Truss did very little to reassure nervous investors
  • Bonds also rallied on the first day without the Bank of England support put in place in response to turmoil caused by Kwarteng's mini-budget
Hong Kong, China– Sterling rose Monday as Britain’s new finance minister prepared to announce new tax and spending measures aimed at calming markets after a botched debt-fuelled budget by his predecessor sent shivers through trading floors.
Jeremy Hunt was put in place on Friday after Prime Minister Liz Truss sacked Kwasi Kwarteng as she battles to save her political career just weeks after taking the keys to Downing Street.
Hunt is tipped to tear up the previous plans and warned at the weekend of tax hikes as he dramatically reversed course on right-wing Truss’ radical program.”It does indicate that they are moving back to some degree of fiscal probity and employing a slightly more prudent fiscal outlook,” said Peter Kinsella, of Union Bancaire Privee UBP SA.The pound held above $1.12, having sunk Friday owing to the uncertainty in Westminster, while a news conference by Truss did very little to reassure nervous investors.Bonds also rallied on the first day without the Bank of England support put in place in response to turmoil caused by Kwarteng’s mini-budget.

“There is no question that recent events have shattered confidence in the… current government, and trust once foregone is usually very difficult to get back,” said CMC Markets’ Michael Hewson.

“The wider question now is what happens next with respect to any new budget, and whether new Chancellor Jeremy Hunt can stabilize the ship at a time when global interest rates are rising anyway.”

The calm also lifted equities, with London in positive territory in the morning. There were also gains in Paris and Frankfurt.

Asia started the week in mixed fashion as Friday’s rally petered out.

The latest strong US inflation reading ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will hike borrowing costs by 75 basis points twice more before the end of the year, stoking concerns the world’s top economy will flip into a recession.

All three main indexes on Wall Street finished sharply lower Friday.

There was a little disappointment among investors after Chinese President Xi Jinping at the weekend reasserted his commitment to the zero-Covid strategy of lockdowns that has hammered the economy this year.

“We expect that the existing Covid measures, that is the number of Covid tests, quarantine days, etc, will remain the same after the Party Congress,” said Iris Pang at ING.

“This will continue to put fiscal pressure on local governments, and when the number of Covid cases increases, we should keep seeing localized lockdowns.”

Traders are also keeping tabs on looming earnings reports, with expectations that higher rates and prices will have eaten into companies’ bottom lines.

Eyes are also on Tokyo as the yen sits around a three-decade low against the dollar owing to US rate hike expectations and the Bank of Japan’s refusal to tighten monetary policy, citing a need to support the economy.

The yen is approaching 150 to the dollar for the first time since 1990, but while officials have said they are keeping tabs on developments, they have yet to intervene in markets for a second time, having done so last month.

Key figures around 0720 GMT

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.2 percent at 26,775.79 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.2 percent at 16,612.90 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,084.94 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.6 percent at 6,896.53

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.1262 from $1.1180 Friday

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 148.61 yen from 148.72 yen

Euro/dollar: UP at $0.9748 from $0.9724

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.55 pence from 86.93 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.0 percent at $86.47 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 1.0 percent at $92.54 per barrel

New York – Dow: DOWN 1.3 percent at 29,634.83 (close)