GCC countries follow US Federal Reserve’s lead in holding interest rates

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The index of the manufacturing sector showed a fall of 5.2 percent in November 2023 compared to the previous month (October 2023).
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  • The Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) announced that it would keep the Base Rate for the Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) steady at 5.40 percent
  • Following suit, Qatar Central Bank (QCB) also maintained its current interest rates, including the rates for deposit, lending, and repurchase agreements

Abu Dhabi, UAE – The Central Banks of the United Arab Emirates and Qatar have chosen to maintain their current interest rates, in a coordinated move echoing the US Federal Reserve’s recent decision, underlining a synchronized approach to monetary policy in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region.

UAE’s Monetary Policy Stance

The Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) announced that it would keep the Base Rate for the Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) steady at 5.40 percent. The decision aligns with the US Federal Reserve’s latest announcement to keep the Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB) unchanged. Moreover, the CBUAE decided to maintain the interest rate for borrowing short-term liquidity at 50 basis points above the Base Rate. This move indicates the UAE’s commitment to mirroring the US Federal Reserve’s policy directions, given the dirham’s peg to the US dollar.

Qatar’s Steady Rates

Following suit, Qatar Central Bank (QCB) also maintained its current interest rates, including the rates for deposit, lending, and repurchase agreements. QCB emphasized its ongoing evaluation of economic conditions and its readiness to adjust policies as needed for financial stability.

US Federal Reserve’s Decision

The US Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady at a 22-year high, while signaling potential rate cuts next year, has set a precedent for global monetary policy. The Fed’s stance on pausing rate hikes and their projection for future cuts reflect an adaptive approach to the evolving economic landscape, balancing the dual mandate of managing inflation and unemployment.

Global Economic Outlook

The Federal Reserve’s policy has implications far beyond the US, influencing central banks worldwide, including those in the GCC. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are also expected to announce their rate decisions, with predictions pointing towards a similar approach of holding rates amid slowing inflation.

Future Expectations:

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the US Federal Reserve has adjusted its forecast for interest rates, indicating potential rate cuts next year. This outlook aligns with the GCC’s approach to monetary policy, where stability and alignment with major economies are key factors.

The decisions by the CBUAE and QCB to hold rates steady, mirroring the US Federal Reserve’s policy, reflect a cautious yet adaptive approach to the global economic environment. As the world economies navigate uncertainties, the alignment of GCC countries with major central banks like the US Federal Reserve underscores their commitment to financial stability and sustainable economic growth.

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